A study on the early-warning technique concerning debris flow disasters     

ZHOU Jinxing  Wang Lixian  XIE Baoyuan  FEI Shimin  Wang Xilin 《地理学报(英文版)》2002,12(3)

According to the principle of the eruption of debris flows, the new torrent classification techniques are brought forward. The torrent there can be divided into 4 types such as the debris flow torrent with high destructive strength, the debris flow torrent, high sand-carrying capacity flush flood torrent and common flush flood by the techniques. In this paper, the classification indices system and the quantitative rating methods are presented. Based on torrent classification, debris flow torrent hazard zone mapping techniques by which the debris flow disaster early-warning object can be ascertained accurately are identified. The key techniques of building the debris flow disaster neural network (NN)real time forecasting model are given detailed explanations in this paper, including the determination of neural node at the input layer, the output layer and the implicit layer, the construction of knowledge source and the initial weight value and so on. With this technique, the debris flow disaster real-time forecasting neural network model is built according to the rainfall features of the historical debris flow disasters, which includes multiple rain factors such as rainfall of the disaster day, the rainfall of 15 days before the disaster day, the maximal rate of rainfall in one hour and ten minutes. It can forecast the probability, critical rainfall of eruption of the debris flows, through the real-time rainfall monitoring or weather forecasting. Based on the torrent classification and hazard zone mapping, combined with rainfall monitoring in the rainy season and real-time forecasting models, the debris flow disaster early-warning system is built. In this system, the GIS technique, the advanced international software and hardware are applied, which makes the system′s performance steady with good expansibility. The system is a visual information system that serves management and decision-making, which can facilitate timely inspect of the variation of the torrent type and hazardous zone, the torrent management, the early-warning of disasters and the disaster reduction and prevention.  相似文献   

Active tectonics of the South Caspian Basin   总被引：15，自引：0，他引：15  

James Jackson  Keith Priestley  Mark Allen  Manuel Berberian 《Geophysical Journal International》2002,148(2):214-245

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The geography of water conflict and cooperation: internal pressures and international manifestations   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Meredith Giordano  Mark Giordano  & Aaron Wolf 《The Geographical journal》2002,168(4):293-312

Studies on transboundary water conflict and cooperation generally consider interstate relations over shared water resources as distinct from intrastate relations. While connections have been made between international water relations and regional relationships in general, it is conceivable that international water conflict and cooperation may also be influenced by domestic water events and vice versa. This paper seeks to investigate the dynamics of water interactions across geographic scale and their relationship to broader international affairs. The research approach involves the creation of an analytical framework for assessing possible linkages between external and internal interactions over freshwater resources. The framework is applied to three case studies – the Middle East, South Asia and Southern Africa – utilizing 'event data'. To validate the findings from the quantitative analyses, the results are compared with conventional qualitative understandings of water and overall relations in the three regions. The comparison demonstrates not only the efficacy of the analytical framework in general, but also highlights, at least in terms of the specific case studies selected, the disparate water dynamics across geographic regions and the importance of considering water events, both national and international, within larger political and historical contexts.  相似文献   

Sea cliffs resulting from late Miocene extensional tectonics: the Serra Gelada case study (Betic Cordillera, Spain)     

Alfonso Ybenes  Pedro Alfaro  Jos Delgado  Antonio Estvez  Jesús M. Soria 《Geomorphology》2002,42(3-4)

The Serra Gelada sea cliffs are carved in Mesozoic carbonate rocks belonging to the External Zones of the eastern Betic Cordillera (Alicante, SE Spain). Several normal faults with vertical slips of more than a hundred metres have played an important role in the origin of this coastline. Some previous studies propose that the present cliff morphology was mainly originated by Quaternary fault activity. However, the integration of geomorphological features, stratigraphical and sedimentological data, together with the results of the tectonic analysis of fractures occurring in Serra Gelada, and a detailed study of seismic reflection profiles carried out in the adjacent continental shelf, indicate that these normal faults were active mainly during the late Miocene. Therefore, the Serra Gelada sea cliffs represent a tectonically controlled long-term landscape. Thus, normal faults have not significantly modified the Serra Gelada relief since then. Furthermore, the northern part of the Serra Gelada cliff may be considered as an inherited pre-Quaternary relict palaeocliff since it has only undergone very little erosive recession.  相似文献   

The paleogeographic implications of loess mounds: Laizhou Bay plain     

ZHANG Zu-lu  LIU En-feng  NIE Xiao-hong  WANG Lin 《地理学报》2002,12(2):196-201

The loess mounds are a newly discovered type of landforms on the Laizhou Bay plain south of the Bohai Sea. Research shows that they were formed in the late period of the late Pleistocene when the Bohai Sea was exposed in the period of late Wümu glacial age and changed into plain. As the exposed area is not protected by vegetation, the sediments at the sea bottom are blown and transported southward by strong north winds, and deposit on the coastal plains. As thick loess is accumulated, the loess mound landforms are formed in the direction of down wind.  相似文献   

Archipelagos and networks: urbanization and water privatization in the South   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Karen Bakker 《The Geographical journal》2003,169(4):328-341

This paper examines the interrelationship between urbanization and water supply privatization in cities in the global South. The purpose of the paper is not to evaluate the impacts of privatization; rather, the paper analyses the differences in pathways and modes of water supply privatization, focusing on urban and contrasting with rural areas. A distinction is drawn between privatization (organizational change) and commercialization (institutional change) of water supply. Emphasis is placed upon the interrelationship between regulatory change (a shift from public to private management of water supply systems), human use of and access to water, and urban waterscapes. In contrast to metaphors of 'networks' so often applied in analyses of water management, the 'archipelago' is posited as a metaphor which better captures the complex overlapping strategies of water supply provision in urban areas in the South. Building on this metaphor, and in response to the 'public–private' dualism often invoked in studies of privatization, the paper outlines an alternative typology of water management in urban areas in the South. This typology foregrounds the concepts of the territorialization of corporate power as a means of understanding the articulation between privatization and urbanization processes in the South.  相似文献   

Upper Miocene magnetic stratigraphy at ODP site 1092 (sub-Antarctic South Atlantic): recognition of 'cryptochrons' in C5n.2n     

Helen F. Evans  James E. T. Channell 《Geophysical Journal International》2003,153(2):483-496

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Three-dimensional elastic earthquake modelling based on integrated seismological and InSAR data: the M_w= 7.2 Nuweiba earthquake, gulf of Elat/Aqaba 1995 November     

G. Shamir  G. Baer  A. Hofstetter 《Geophysical Journal International》2003,154(3):731-744

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近、现代黄河三角洲地貌形态反演   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

刘庆生  刘高焕  励惠国 《地理与地理信息科学》2003,19(2):93-96

1855年黄河改夺大清河河道后于山东利津县东北入海。至今黄河尾癌河道历经10次大的改道变迁，塑造了近、现代黄河三角洲，形成了7个主要的亚三洲堆积体。该文利用黄河尾癌河道改道资料，近、现代河口流路变迁图，近、现代黄河三角洲体系图以及1985－1986年的水文工程地质钻孔资料，在研究黄河三角洲沉积模式的基础上，对工程地质钻孔数据进行沉积层序分析，将今论古，反推近、现代黄河三角洲沉积地貌，研究结果近似展示了近、现代黄河三角洲二维平面的发育演变和其时其地的地貌形态。  相似文献   

汾河流域水环境地理信息系统设计   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

李宏伟  郭建忠  魏海平 《地理与地理信息科学》2003,19(3):35-37

该文结合汾河流域水环境地理信息系统设计的具体实践，论述了系统所采用的三层结构体系、设计的技术策略，重点对系统的功能特别是数据库设计和应用系统功能进行了详细的描述，是地理信息系统在水环境管理领域应用的有益探索。  相似文献